Pippa Malmgren | Co-Founder of H-Robitics, Presidential Advisor, and AI and Drone Expert

Pippa Malmgren

Co-Founder of H-Robitics, Presidential Advisor, and AI and Drone Expert

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Pippa Malmgren
Featured Video

Current: AI Connects the Dots

Time 09:25

A Melt-Up?

Most are expecting a major economic downturn soon and during 2019/2020. Pippa expects bumpy moments but overall limited downside to growth and asset prices and probably upside surprises. Most fund managers need better returns (from pension funds to hedge funds) and are hoping to buy assets more cheaply. They are buyers on pullbacks, not sellers. This situation is supported by the $20T in cash that remains in place since the financial crisis bailout. The rate hikes in the US and elsewhere still leave liquidity at all-time record highs. Rate hikes don’t tighten, they just normalize liquidity and rubber stamp the growth of the economy. Market participants are preparing for a melt-down and may miss a melt-up in the coming few years.

The Holographic Economy

Ubiquitous data gathering is resulting in an almost unlimited collection of data points that gather to create a holographic sphere of actionable information. It is almost like a crystal ball that creates radical transparency. Everyone will have a Doppelgänger that presents a more accurate presentation of reality than they themselves do. Your bank already uses AI to identify trends in the data sphere that indicate when you will be divorced and drives your credit limit down in anticipation of that event.

Business people need to learn how to conjure forth answers from this new data-dimension and how to manage with such radical transparency. Sensetime, the most valuable start up in the world is a facial recognition tech that identifies the microfacial movements that indicate a CEO is lying on CNBC Squawk box and set the algorithms to short the stock before they leave the set.

Increasingly advertising and consumer interface with happen through digital products including Augmented reality and Virtual Reality using inputs from the data sphere.

Robotics, Unemployment and UBI

The first robotic tool was introduced in 1804, the Jacquard Weaving Loom. We’ve had nothing but more robotics and automation ever since. What is the end result? Record level employment from China to the US. Robotics do not equal unemployment. They augment humans and remove them from dull, dirty and dangerous work. But they do require humans to engage in radical change and new education. Luckily learning is now easier than ever with ubiquitous and easy to access resources.

We won’t need to pay people to not work. But we may need to pay people to learn so that they can keep engaging in the ever-changing economy. The Universal Basic Income should be converted into a Universal Basic Incentive.

Geopolitics

Investors are worried about the geopolitical problems between the US and China and within Europe and with regard to populism. They assume all outcomes must be bad. But it may be that Xi Jinping and Trump are navigating their way to a deal that would denuclearize North Korea and normalize relations on the Korean Peninsula. The horse-trading over Huawei and Apple are part of the negotiation process. But what if a deal is reached? Markets will jump. Investors risk not being prepared.

Investors need to think about political possibilities. What if Trump wins again? What if he does not and instead launches TNN (the Trump News Network), he may end up with a more influential, more powerful platform that the Oval Office. If so, politics in America may turn out very differently than people expect.

Investors need to remember that every time Sterling falls, British assets are cheaper and British exports are more competitive. It is possible that both the EU and the UK can succeed albeit using very different business models. Not all options are either/or. It might be both.

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